Also at http://prorevnews.blogspot.com/2014/02/we-interrupt-ukraine-news-with-some.html
Very interesting interview.
George Kenney interviews Russian scholar Stephen F Cohen about Ukraine
See it especially at 17:00-22:00 and 35:00-42:00
Suggests allowing Kiev-Ukraine to join as a junior partner with Lithuania and Poland, in order to preserve Russian oriented southern and eastern areas of Ukraine for Russia. Lithuania and Poland are here identified as the two countries at the forefront of pushing EU regime change in Ukraine, with the support of Germany.
19:10 They would as you say draw a red line on say Sevastopol, and so for Washington to think they we can wrest these territories from Russian orbit is extremely dangerous, and its not going to happen.Mentions 'sidebar' story of Germany to become more assertive, with the need for Polish compensation to the east.
And its not going to happen.
Russia is not going to let eastern Ukraine go.
Actually, If Putin asked my opinion
If I were a patriotic Russian citizen instead of a patriotic American citizen as I am
I would say to Putin what do you want western Ukraine for anyway its nothing but trouble? I they want to go and be a junior poor partner with Lithuania and Poland and oh by the way it is Poland and Lithuania that have been driving this EU march on Ukraine, let them go. They are not Russian … western Ukraine was part of the polish empire, part of the Austrian empire; it has few affinities with Russia, whereas eastern Ukraine is Russian essentially. Let them go. And what do you get? You get the most populous part of Ukraine, that’s eastern and southern Ukraine. You preserve your naval base. … you won’t have the basket-case of western Ukraine
36:20 You mentioned Poland and Lithuania pushing for some change in Ukraine… What is your sense of the German role in all of this?Ghosts of the Polish Lithuanian Commonwealth
Well that’s the sidebar story but an important one. I can’t claim expertise on it but I looked into it asked people, and it appears to have this pre-history. Poland is very nervous about Germany’s growing role in Europe. So Poland wanted some empire of its own, like it …[once had]. It wanted Ukraine … to offset German economic and political influence. Meanwhile Germans has been talking about a more assertive foreign policy- taking more leadership. Now you got to remember that the wounds of WW2 are not completely healed; so when you tell a Polish citizen of a certain generation that Germany’s going to get more assertive, they get a little worried. So they wanted to enhance their sphere of influence economically and politically, and Poland was the ticket.